BTC Trapped in Defined Ranged Despite Fed Rate Cut
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BTC Trapped in Defined Ranged Despite Fed Rate Cut

Published: 15 December 2025,06:08

Published: 15 December 2025,06:08

Daily Market Analysis New

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Key Takeaways:

*Total crypto market cap hovers near $3T with low volumes, while the Fear & Greed Index stays in Extreme Fear at 16.

*Bitcoin ETF inflows remain muted after recent outflows, leaving the market without a strong demand backstop.

*Upcoming U.S. CPI and NFP releases will be critical—dovish signals could revive risk appetite, while disappointment risks further downside.

Market Summary:

Digital asset markets continue to grapple with sustained selling pressure, with total market capitalization hovering near the $3 trillion threshold. Subdued trading volumes reflect persistently weak risk appetite, underscoring a lack of conviction among participants. A modest silver lining emerges from Bitcoin’s declining dominance, which has retreated to approximately 59% from a recent high of 66%, indicating a tentative rotation of interest toward alternative cryptocurrencies.

Market sentiment remains deeply negative, as evidenced by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index stagnating at 16—firmly in “Extreme Fear” territory. This reading suggests investors are operating with high caution and shows no immediate signs of a turnaround in mood.

The institutional flow picture offers little support. Bitcoin ETF inflows have remained minimal following a period of significant net outflows over the past month. This lack of institutional buying interest removes a key pillar of demand, leaving the market vulnerable to further downside in the absence of a positive catalyst.

Attention now turns to upcoming U.S. macroeconomic releases, particularly this week’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. These prints will be critical in shaping expectations for Federal Reserve policy. Should the data support a more dovish outlook for interest rates, it could foster an improvement in risk sentiment, potentially providing the digital asset space with a needed catalyst for recovery. Until then, the market remains in a state of fragile equilibrium, susceptible to further declines.

Technical Analysis

BTC, H4

Bitcoin continues to trade beneath its primary long-term downtrend resistance line, having faced rejection at this dynamic ceiling on three separate occasions. This repeated failure to achieve a sustained breakout underscores the continued dominance of sellers at this key technical level.

Despite the bearish pressure at the upper boundary, the cryptocurrency has demonstrated resilience at a critical support zone, consistently finding bids above the $88,000 level. This price action has established a clear trading range, with BTC oscillating between the descending trendline resistance above and the horizontal support below. This consolidation suggests a period of equilibrium as the market searches for its next directional catalyst.

However, momentum indicators are tilting toward a bearish resolution. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending lower from neutral territory, indicating weakening buying interest. Simultaneously, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows signs of rolling over and is threatening a bearish crossover below its zero line. This configuration suggests that, while price is range-bound, underlying momentum is deteriorating.

Resistance Levels: 93,580.00, 101,365.00

Support Levels: 85,515.00, 77,330.00

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